The Blue Car Buncle Page 2
Sir Arthur Ignatius Conan Doyle
Its finder has carried it off, therefore, to fulfil the ultimate destiny of a goose, while I continue to
retain the hat of the unknown gentleman who lost his Christmas dinner." "Did he not advertise?"
"No." "Then, what clue could you have as to his identity?" "Only as much as we can deduce." "From
his hat?" "Precisely." "But you are joking. What can you gather from this old battered felt?" "Here is
my lens. You know my methods. What can you gather yourself as to the individuality of the man who
has worn this article?" I took the tattered object in my hands and turned it over rather ruefully. It was
a very ordinary black hat of the usual round shape, hard and much the worse for wear. The lining
had been of red silk, but was a good deal discoloured. There was no maker's name; but, as Holmes
had remarked, the initials "H. B." were scrawled upon one side. It was pierced in the brim for a hat-
securer, but the elastic was missing. For the rest, it was cracked, exceedingly dusty, and spotted in
several places, although there seemed to have been some attempt to hide the discoloured patches
by smearing them with ink.
"I can see nothing," said I, handing it back to my friend. "On the contrary, Watson, you can see
everything. You fail, however, to reason from what you see. You are too timid in drawing your
inferences." "Then, pray tell me what it is that you can infer from this hat?" He picked it up and gazed
at it in the peculiar introspective fashion which was characteristic of him. "It is perhaps less
suggestive than it might have been," he remarked, "and yet there are a few inferences which are very
distinct, and a few others which represent at least a strong balance of probability. That the man was
highly intellectual is of course obvious upon the face of it, and also that he was fairly well-to-do
within the last three years, although he has now fallen upon evil days. He had foresight, but has less
now than formerly, pointing to a moral retrogression, which, when taken with the decline of his
fortunes, seems to indicate some evil influence, probably drink, at work upon him. This may account
also for the obvious fact that his wife has ceased to love him." "My dear Holmes!" "He has, however,
retained some degree of self-respect," he continued, disregarding my remonstrance. "He is a man
who leads a sedentary life, goes out little, is out of training entirely, is middle-aged, has grizzled hair
which he has had cut within the last few days, and which he anoints with lime-cream. These are the
more patent facts which are to be deduced from his hat. Also, by the way, that it is extremely
improbable that he has gas laid on in his house." "You are certainly joking, Holmes." "Not in the least.
Is it possible that even now, when I give you these results, you are unable to see how they are
attained?"
"I have no doubt that I am very stupid, but I must confess that I am unable to follow you. For
example, how did you deduce that this man was intellectual?" For answer Holmes clapped the hat
upon his head. It came right over the forehead and settled upon the bridge of his nose. "It is a
question of cubic capacity," said he; "a man with so large a brain must have something in it." "The
decline of his fortunes, then?" "This hat is three years old. These flat brims curled at the edge came
in then. It is a hat of the very best quality. Look at the band of ribbed silk and the excellent lining. If
this man could afford to buy so expensive a hat three years ago, and has had no hat since, then he
has assuredly gone down in the world." "Well, that is clear enough, certainly. But how about the
foresight and the moral retrogression?" Sherlock Holmes laughed. "Here is the foresight," said he
putting his finger upon the little disc and loop of the hat-securer. "They are never sold upon hats. If
this man ordered one, it is a sign of a certain amount of foresight, since he went out of his way to
take this precaution against the wind. But since we see that he has broken the elastic and has not
troubled to replace it, it is obvious that he has less foresight now than formerly, which is a distinct
proof of a weakening nature.